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Alt-Prognoz (Forecast)

MODEL FOR THE OPERATING ENTERPRISE
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Computer program Alt-Prognoz (Forecast) is a model of the operating enterprise that reflects all the basic aspects of its activity. The model became a result of the anti-crisis program development at Sorsky molibdenic Industrial Center and Sovitalprodmash Joint Enterprise. Now it is used effectively by the experts of Alt-Invest Company while working at the consulting projects.
In cooperation with FinKonsalt FIC the program has been completely adapted for the legislative and reporting features of Belarus.
The model helps to solve the problem of forming and optimizing the financial budget (financial plan) of the company. The model describes and represents information to optimize the following areas of the enterprise:
Production (works, services)
Products shipment (works, services), warehouse supervision
Current expenses management
Investment funds (the investment program)
Financial policy of the enterprise (credit program, emission, estimation with the budget)
Using Alt-Prognoz (Forecast) to form the financial budget assumes three stages: the reflection of the initial state of the enterprise, the description of the developed plans, the analysis and optimization of the future financial condition of the enterprise.

The initial state of the enterprise is described by the means of standard forms of the accounting reporting - Balance Sheet and Financial Results Report. The basic final characteristics of the forecasting financial condition of the enterprise are the model of the enterprise settlement account, the forecast profit, the activity break-even indexes.
At the formation and optimization of financial plans (budgets) the features of work of the Russian enterprises are taken into account:
Russian tax and formation of financial results systems;
Barter transactions and offsets;
Various ways of allocating overhead costs by products.
Alt-Porgnoz (Forecast) provides necessary information for those who determines the financial policy of the enterprise - financial directors, analytical service experts, internal and external analysts, and also for the experts of the investment and financial institutions.
By the means of the Alt-Prognoz (Forecast) model the following tasks are solved:
The volume of sales and the price of each kind of product to provide the break-even (necessary level
   of profitability) of the enterprise.
The analysis and optimization of the enterprise working capital management. An estimation
   of economic effect from the optimizing the company's needs for working capital.
Necessary credit amount estimation and means attraction and return schedule construction
   (including credits attracted earlier).
Control and optimization of the income and payments structure. In particular, determination
   of the "monetary" component of revenue needed to cover payments in cash.
Selection of the most rational combinations of the management decisions aimed at improving
   the profitability and liquidity of the enterprise.
Alt-Porgnoz (Forecast) allows managers quickly get an idea of how business will be developing, choose options to solve specific management problems and predict the influence of certain actions on the overall financial health of the organization.
The predicted financial condition of the enterprise is described by the means of indexes and factors, as well as in the form of charts and diagrams. Using the model openness it is possible to supplement the calculations with necessary tables and factors and to form and change the diagram type.
"Alt-Prognoz (Forecast) helps:
To generate and prove the plan of the enterprise surmounting the crisis (including the possible
   procedure of bankruptcy).
To prepare reasonable schedule of means attraction and repayment for the project implemented
   at the operating enterprise.
To develop parent company financial strategy regarding its business units.
The set of delivery of Alt-Prognoz (Forecast) includes: user manual that reflects technical and methodical features of the program and ways to optimize enterprise’s financial condition. Alt-Prognoz (Forecast) users get free consulting support from our consultants.

The program can automatically transfer data from the Balance Sheet and the Financial Results Report of the Alt-Finance Program. Number of Alt-Prognoz (Forecast) installations within user-organization is not limited.

The management of Barrikada, JSC (St.-Petersburg) uses Alt-Prognoz (Forecast) to build up quarterly forecasts for the company’s settlement account state. If the negative balance of free cash flow occurs, the management decisions to eliminate the budget deficit are modeled.

Molibden JSC used Alt-Prognoz software to develop the anti-crisis program in 1997.
Basic characteristics of the standard version:
The model’s implementation medium - Microsoft Excel © spreadsheets
Duration of the planning interval – any (90 days is recommended)
Automatic change of the planning intervals: from 4 up to 250
Automatic extension of the products types: from 1 up to 1000
Automatic filling of the initial balance of the enterprise from Alt- Finance 1.5 software product
Calculations results can be transformed and presented in the forms with various duration
   of the planning intervals
The information can be presented both in Russian and in English
Easy switching in tables and diagrams
The build-in function of the calculations results print
© 2004-2012 «Alt-invest»
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